Sunday, 4 August 2024

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Why did the Japanese market fell 13% in a month ?

The reason for this global sell off lies not in US but in Japan. Japan has essentially being in stagflation since last 40 years. Interest rates in Japan are zero. Traders across the world, especially US hedge funds, used to take these 0 interest loans and invest in risky assets across the world, especially in NASDAQ.

Now on Thursday, the Japanese Central Bank after 40 years increased the interest rates by 0.25% and gave a very hawkish commentary about future rate increases.

This set panic bell amongst the traders who used to
borrow YEN at 0% interest and invest in global stocks especially NASDAQ. US hedge funds pressed the sell button as they wanted exit at any prices.

1 USD which was around 162 JPY a month ago became 147 JPY. This strength in YEN further eroded the earnings of Japanese companies who are mainly exporters thereby forcing the foreign investors there to sell
Japanese stocks.

Now comes the most interesting part. The retail investors in Japan who were over confident and enjoying the bull run and buy on dip trade with Nikkei touching 42000, panicked and started selling too. Imagine the kind of losses they would have made with this sudden downfall. Always remember, big funds and prop desks always pre-empt about the impending negative event and they will always unwound their longs in F&O and create parallel shorts, before selling in the cash market. Thus the Japanese retail investor was caught unaware with the sudden down move and it will take sometime for them to come back in the market.

These 3 set of investors made the Japanese market fell almost 11 % in a month.
By: via AlliesFinServe #StockMarket #Bharat Telegram.me/AlliesFin

AlliesFinServe #StockMarket #Bharat Telegram.me/AlliesFin's Post

https://x.com/cnbctv18live/status/1870100490643747026?s=52 By: ۞ A X i T D S H A H ۞ via AlliesFinServe #StockMarket #Bharat Telegram.me/Al...