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Friday, 1 November 2013

Divergence : Diwali to Diwali Sensex Charts






Pranam,

In 2008 SENSEX Topped Out in JAN , making Clear RSI -ve Div Near 21.2K







In 2010 Sensex Topped out on Diwali Day @ 21.1K & Crashed 10% in Next 2 weeks (RSI -ve Div was there)







In 2013 Sensex Can Top Out Again Near 21K & Can Crash 10-12 % in November Itself (RSI -ve Div is currently in making)










!****!****!

Hv a Gr8 day,
Warm Regards,
AXIT  D  SHAH
~ Founder ~
۞ ALLIES ~ FINANCIAL ~ SERVICES
Mobile : +91 9820 191219 
Whatsapp +91 98699 58999
E~Mail : info.AlliesFin@gmail.com
Web/Blog : 
www.AlliesFin.BlogSpot.com
FaceBook : Twitter : BBM : 75C21932
!~! CONSIDER ENVIRONMENT B4 PRINTING ANYTHING OR FROM THIS EMAIL !~!




Thursday, 8 August 2013

Technical Levels for 08 August 2013




Pranam,

Scrip Name
Entry Point
Previous Close
Exit Point
TP/Action Plan
3rd
2nd
1st
1st
2nd
3rd
BSE SENSEX (5000001)
18255
18467
18615
18665
18875
19011
19127
Support 18467
NSE NIFTY (5000018)
5350
5420
5470
5519
5535
5579
5631
Support 5470
AXIS BANK LTD (532215) ##
995
1023
1054
1069
1077
1095
1110
Support 1023
BAJAJ AUTO LTD (532977) #
1695
1720
1747
1771
1775
1805
1833
200 Day EMA 1853
BANKNIFTY (5000021)
9303
9475
9660
9757
9814
9926
10179
Daily double bottom 9660
BATA INDIA LTD (500043) #
816
838
853
875
878
890
905
Resistance 905
BHARAT HEAVY ELECTRICALS (500103) #
100
108
113
116
119
125
131
Dead cat bounce likely if 113 holds
CAIRNS INDIA LTD (532792) #
274
282
289
292
296
300
308
200 Day EMA 305
COAL INDIA LTD. (533278) ##
247
255
260
263
266
271
277
Hold long position above 266
DLF LTD-EQ (532868)
112
119
124
131
132
137
142
Buy above 132
HAVELLS INDIA LTD (517354) #
558
575
595
603
608
621
636
Sell below 595
HDFC BANK LTD (500180) #
563
583
592
601
602
620
638
Next support 583
HERO MOTOCORP LTD. (500182) ##
1730
1770
1807
1830
1831
1848
1862
Support 1770
ICICI BANK LTD-EQ (532174) #
814
828
844
868
871
885
898
Dead cat bounce likely above 871
INFOSYS LIMITED-EQ (500209) #
2888
2920
2950
2955
2990
3010
3045
Support 2950
JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD (532286) #
178
187
200
204
207
214
220
Hold long position with stop loss 200
JSW STEEL LTD (500228)
464
485
502
521
525
546
560
Buy above 525
LARSEN & TOUBRO LTD (500510) ##
724
747
766
781
790
810
823
Next support 766
LIC HOUSING FINANCE LTD-E (500253) #
150
158
164
166
169
175
186
Buy above 169
MAHINDRA & MAHINDRA LTD-E (500520) #
819
832
841
843
852
863
880
Next support 819
MARUTI SUZUKI INDIA LTD-E (532500) ##
1260
1294
1320
1334
1360
1378
1395
Support 1260
RELIANCE CAPITAL LTD (500111)
288
297
308
319
325
334
342
Hold long position with stop loss 308
RELIANCE INDUSTRIES LTD-E (500325) ##
835
855
870
871
883
904
928
Buy above 883
RELIANCE INFRASTRUCTURE L (500390) #
310
318
325
335
336
344
352
Hold long position above 336
RURAL ELECTRIFICATION COR (532955) #
142
149
155
159
161
167
175
Hold long position above 161
STATE BANK OF INDIA (500112) #
1629
1659
1695
1714
1720
1745
1770
Buy above 1720
TATA CONSULTANCY SERVICES LTD (532540) #
1751
1792
1812
1820
1849
1872
1906
Hold short position with stop loss 1849
TATA MOTORS LTD (500570) #
260
269
278
279
295
304
312
200 Day EMA 285
TATA STEEL LTD (500470) #
192
198
203
208
216
223
231
Hold long position with stop loss 198
TITAN INDUSTRIES LTD (500114) #
243
250
256
263
265
274
280
200 Day EMA 257
YES BANK LTD (532648) #
272
280
289
293
294
302
312
Hold long position above 294

!****!****!

Have a Gr8 Day,

Warm Regards,

۞ ALLIES FINANCIAL SERVICES
HQ: Mumbai, India.
Blog: www.AlliesFin.BlogSpot.com

! Consider Environment Before Printing Anything !

Wednesday, 7 August 2013

Sharavan Mahiney ki Subh Mangal Kamna




Pranam,

RBI Governor Subbarao to retire in Sept 2013 & Raghuram Rajan to take the New Stance can change market dynamics upto pre Budget Jan 2014.

A highly trusted men of Mr.FM and wide experience can bring Total turnaround in markets and economy.

Liquidity pressure may ease and good reforms and execution may take place during his regime.

We expect markets to react Positively and reach SKY TOPS in this time.
At 5500 Nifty & Sensex 18500, can we see 7200 Nifty & 27000 Sensex ??? 

LET TIME ANSWER ALL QUESTIONS.

We expect Few Sectors to Outperform which are highly beaten and have lots of pessimism in it.






!****!****!

Hv a Gr8 day,
Warm Regards,
AXIT  D  SHAH
~ Founder ~
۞ ALLIES ~ FINANCIAL ~ SERVICES
Mobile : +91 9820 191219 
Whatsapp +91 98699 58999
E~Mail : info.AlliesFin@gmail.com
Web/Blog : 
www.AlliesFin.BlogSpot.com
FaceBook : Twitter : BBM : 26750E8B
!~! CONSIDER ENVIRONMENT B4 PRINTING ANYTHING OR FROM THIS EMAIL !~!


Tuesday, 30 July 2013

RBI Policy




Pranam,

[C] Highlights of RBI's First Quarter Review of Monetary Policy 2013-14
    Cogencis, Tuesday, Jul 30
.
    MUMBAI - Following are the highlights of the Reserve Bank of India's
First Quarter Review of Monetary Policy for 2013-14 (Apr-Mar):
.
MAIN HIGHLIGHTS
* Repo rate unchanged at 7.25%
* Reverse repo rate unchanged at 6.25%
* MSF, Bank Rate unchanged at 10.25%
* Cash Reserve Ration unchanged at 4%
* FY14 GDP growth projection cut to 5.5% vs 5.7%
* FY14 M3 growth projection retained at 13%
* FY14 deposit growth projection retained at 14%
* FY14 non-food credit growth projection kept at 15%
* Will endeavour to condition evolution of inflation to 5% by Mar
* To release mid-quarter policy review on Sep 18
* To detail Jul-Sep policy review on Oct 29
.
GUIDANCE
* External sector influence on policy has grown in last one yr
* Last 2 yrs' stance mainly shaped by growth-inflation dynamic
* Current situation would have built reasonable case for easing
* India now caught in classic 'impossible trinity' trilemma
* Have to forfeit policy discretion for external sector issues
* Recent liquidity steps aimed at checking undue FX volatility
* Once FX mkt stabilises, liquidity steps to be rolled back
* FX stability to enable reverting to growth supportive policy
* Should use available time for structural steps on current acct
* Time available now should be used with "alacrity"
* Ready to use all tools for quick response to adverse events
.
GROWTH
* Onset, spread of monsoon have been robust
* Persisting weakness in industry has heightened risks to growth
* Global growth has been tepid
* Tepid global growth impacted world trade, Indian industry
* Global spillovers impacted exports, manufacturing, services
* Govt took many policy initiatives to improve invest environment
* As govt steps work through system, current slowdown may reverse
.
INFLATION
* Apr-Jun inflation trajectory mostly in line with estimates
* Some risks to inflation path have surfaced in June
* Good monsoon didn't ease food prices as much as it should have
* Vegetable prices impacted by weather-driven supply disruption
* Outlook for non-oil global commodity prices stays benign
* International crude oil prices are firming up
* Firm crude oil prices reflected in petroleum pdt price hikes
* Rupee fall expected to pass through to inflation in coming mos
* Timing of further price hikes makes inflation outlook uncertain
* Extent of further price hikes makes inflation outlook uncertain
* Objective is to contain WPI around 5% in short term
* Objective is to contain WPI around 3% in medium term
.
RISK FACTPORS
* Biggest risk to macroeconomic outlook from external sector
* Not clear if mkts fully factored full impact of US bond buy cut
* Not clear if mkt will react to each signal on US bond buy cut
* India to stay vulnerable to global fincl mkt sentiment
* Large current acct gap a formidable structural risk factor
* Current acct gap raised stress on external payments situation
* Current acct gap reflects rising external indebtedness
* Most external vulnerability indicators have deteriorated
* Worsened external indicators hurt economy's resilience to shock
* External vulnerability heightens need for fiscal consolidation
* Investment climate remains weak
* Risk aversion continues to stall investment plans
* Critical to ease supply constraints in economy
.



!****!****!

Have a Gr8 Day,

Warm Regards,

۞ ALLIES FINANCIAL SERVICES
HQ: Mumbai, India.
Blog: www.AlliesFin.BlogSpot.com

! Consider Environment Before Printing Anything !

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Pranam,

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!****!****!

Hv a Gr8 day,
Warm Regards,
AXIT  D  SHAH
~ Founder ~
۞ ALLIES ~ FINANCIAL ~ SERVICES
Mobile : +91 9820 191219 
Whatsapp +91 98699 58999
E~Mail : info.AlliesFin@gmail.com
Web/Blog : 
www.AlliesFin.BlogSpot.com
FaceBook : Twitter : BBM : 26750E8B
!~! CONSIDER ENVIRONMENT B4 PRINTING ANYTHING OR FROM THIS EMAIL !~!


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