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Wednesday, 7 August 2013

Sharavan Mahiney ki Subh Mangal Kamna




Pranam,

RBI Governor Subbarao to retire in Sept 2013 & Raghuram Rajan to take the New Stance can change market dynamics upto pre Budget Jan 2014.

A highly trusted men of Mr.FM and wide experience can bring Total turnaround in markets and economy.

Liquidity pressure may ease and good reforms and execution may take place during his regime.

We expect markets to react Positively and reach SKY TOPS in this time.
At 5500 Nifty & Sensex 18500, can we see 7200 Nifty & 27000 Sensex ??? 

LET TIME ANSWER ALL QUESTIONS.

We expect Few Sectors to Outperform which are highly beaten and have lots of pessimism in it.






!****!****!

Hv a Gr8 day,
Warm Regards,
AXIT  D  SHAH
~ Founder ~
۞ ALLIES ~ FINANCIAL ~ SERVICES
Mobile : +91 9820 191219 
Whatsapp +91 98699 58999
E~Mail : info.AlliesFin@gmail.com
Web/Blog : 
www.AlliesFin.BlogSpot.com
FaceBook : Twitter : BBM : 26750E8B
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Tuesday, 30 July 2013

RBI Policy




Pranam,

[C] Highlights of RBI's First Quarter Review of Monetary Policy 2013-14
    Cogencis, Tuesday, Jul 30
.
    MUMBAI - Following are the highlights of the Reserve Bank of India's
First Quarter Review of Monetary Policy for 2013-14 (Apr-Mar):
.
MAIN HIGHLIGHTS
* Repo rate unchanged at 7.25%
* Reverse repo rate unchanged at 6.25%
* MSF, Bank Rate unchanged at 10.25%
* Cash Reserve Ration unchanged at 4%
* FY14 GDP growth projection cut to 5.5% vs 5.7%
* FY14 M3 growth projection retained at 13%
* FY14 deposit growth projection retained at 14%
* FY14 non-food credit growth projection kept at 15%
* Will endeavour to condition evolution of inflation to 5% by Mar
* To release mid-quarter policy review on Sep 18
* To detail Jul-Sep policy review on Oct 29
.
GUIDANCE
* External sector influence on policy has grown in last one yr
* Last 2 yrs' stance mainly shaped by growth-inflation dynamic
* Current situation would have built reasonable case for easing
* India now caught in classic 'impossible trinity' trilemma
* Have to forfeit policy discretion for external sector issues
* Recent liquidity steps aimed at checking undue FX volatility
* Once FX mkt stabilises, liquidity steps to be rolled back
* FX stability to enable reverting to growth supportive policy
* Should use available time for structural steps on current acct
* Time available now should be used with "alacrity"
* Ready to use all tools for quick response to adverse events
.
GROWTH
* Onset, spread of monsoon have been robust
* Persisting weakness in industry has heightened risks to growth
* Global growth has been tepid
* Tepid global growth impacted world trade, Indian industry
* Global spillovers impacted exports, manufacturing, services
* Govt took many policy initiatives to improve invest environment
* As govt steps work through system, current slowdown may reverse
.
INFLATION
* Apr-Jun inflation trajectory mostly in line with estimates
* Some risks to inflation path have surfaced in June
* Good monsoon didn't ease food prices as much as it should have
* Vegetable prices impacted by weather-driven supply disruption
* Outlook for non-oil global commodity prices stays benign
* International crude oil prices are firming up
* Firm crude oil prices reflected in petroleum pdt price hikes
* Rupee fall expected to pass through to inflation in coming mos
* Timing of further price hikes makes inflation outlook uncertain
* Extent of further price hikes makes inflation outlook uncertain
* Objective is to contain WPI around 5% in short term
* Objective is to contain WPI around 3% in medium term
.
RISK FACTPORS
* Biggest risk to macroeconomic outlook from external sector
* Not clear if mkts fully factored full impact of US bond buy cut
* Not clear if mkt will react to each signal on US bond buy cut
* India to stay vulnerable to global fincl mkt sentiment
* Large current acct gap a formidable structural risk factor
* Current acct gap raised stress on external payments situation
* Current acct gap reflects rising external indebtedness
* Most external vulnerability indicators have deteriorated
* Worsened external indicators hurt economy's resilience to shock
* External vulnerability heightens need for fiscal consolidation
* Investment climate remains weak
* Risk aversion continues to stall investment plans
* Critical to ease supply constraints in economy
.



!****!****!

Have a Gr8 Day,

Warm Regards,

۞ ALLIES FINANCIAL SERVICES
HQ: Mumbai, India.
Blog: www.AlliesFin.BlogSpot.com

! Consider Environment Before Printing Anything !

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Pranam,

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!****!****!

Hv a Gr8 day,
Warm Regards,
AXIT  D  SHAH
~ Founder ~
۞ ALLIES ~ FINANCIAL ~ SERVICES
Mobile : +91 9820 191219 
Whatsapp +91 98699 58999
E~Mail : info.AlliesFin@gmail.com
Web/Blog : 
www.AlliesFin.BlogSpot.com
FaceBook : Twitter : BBM : 26750E8B
!~! CONSIDER ENVIRONMENT B4 PRINTING ANYTHING OR FROM THIS EMAIL !~!


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