Wednesday 30 January 2008

Markets Crashing What to Do ?

This is the latest happening in Indian markets, for this we had developed a theme called NIFTY CAN BRING KRANTI. We had updated our theme in an excel file on our website with the same name which in now available to download.

The website name is : Group : http://groups.google.com/group/alliesfin

We would like to get comments on the same by sms on 00919820191219 or on our email address : alliesfin@gmail.com

If u like our theme then u can share with others too & if u do not like our theme then also u have to share with others too as who knows who will be benefited from this.

As we all know that the market has been witnessing a see-saw movement since last Monday with BSE Sensex falling by about 1,400 points on 21-01-08, with a further loss of about 875 points on 22-01-08. Obviously, with such a steep fall in two days, recovery was obvious, which came with a rise of 860 points on 23-01-08 which fell again on 24-01-08 by about 375 points. Big relief was witnessed on 25-01-08 with a rise of about 1,140 points on Sensex.

Why are we witnessing this see-saw in Sensex and what lies on the road ahead for the market in the next one week to one month ? Probably, this is the question in the minds of every market participants, including a long term investor.

Why a long term investor needs to get worried or panic, if he is convinced about the India Growth story which is likely to remain atleast till 2010, time and again reaffirmed by the Economists, Fundamental Analysts, India Inc. and even by our PM and FM. He has not invested in the market to earn his day to day gain or profit, but is there to create wealth, which a genuine investor has made or created over a period of time, and especially in the last four years.

The fall in the Indian market has triggered with the fall in US Markets, which led to nervousness in other international markets as well, like Europe and South East Asian countries, which get closely monitored by the Indian analysts, nowadays.

In this fall, weak hands left the market by liquidating their long positions, having created in F&O segments. But in the process, small and big broking houses also had to pay a big price, as now, some of them are unable to recover losses having incurred by their clients. Last week, more than 50% terminals of the brokers were disabled, including some of the broking companies, which went public in the last couple of years as also, some of which are planning to go public.

With rise in market on one day, traders and investors become bullish on the market and start taking a positive call and this was witnessed on Friday, 25th January 08. This proved short lived on 25th itself with US Market opening in negative. Whole of Saturday and Sunday people were expecting huge fall on Monday which rightly came in.

Now, let's look to the situation developed in the last one week or so. January F&O series witnessed a fall in open interest, in terms of number of shares and value, in the week ending 25th January, 08, from the levels at which the series started on 28th December 07. This is indeed a healthy sign, as the market has grossly gone underowned with weak hands, totally moving out of the market. The strong hands have entered into the market at the levels of 16K to 17K equivalent to Nifty at around 5K, whereby they have positive mark to market on intra-day basis.

High Net Worth Investors, Indian Corporates and even Retail Investors are now very much interested and have started buying the stocks with a view of about 6 months at the current levels. With such a situation, at the ground level, it is likely that painful leveraged position has not remained much in the market which is ultimately a cause for fall in the Sensex, abruptly.

However, sentiments turn negative with a fall in international market and wild rumours act as a fuel to the fire.

With open interests having reduced by close to Rs.35,000 crores and weak hands now out of the market, these are the reasons for the market to go for a new round of buying and in all probability would take a U turn by the end of January F&O series, slated to happen on Thursday 31st January.

F&O series starting on 1st February, which would expire on 28th February, is likely to remain quite positive and one should not be surprised to see it inching close to 20K on Sensex and close to 6K on Nifty. Rational thinking would also prevail in February, due to good expectations from the budget, further rate cut from FOMC, call on Q3 results and improved liquidity with the refunds coming in from Reliance Power IPO.

All these things should be able to change the sentiments, which are purely driving the markets now, keeping fundamentals on the backburner.

Axit Shah

Wealth Advisor ~ Allies Financial Services
Mobile Gsm : ( 0091 ) 9820191219
Yahoo ID : alliesfin9
Website : http://alliesfin.blogspot.com
Group : http://groups.google.com/group/alliesfin
Sms Service : http://www.smsgupshup.com/groups/AlliesFin

Monday 28 January 2008

Market View 29 January 2008


Still continue with the same theme of Value Buyinggggg
We continue with our previous recomendations of value buyin @ dips in last week when we updated this blog.
MARKETS R HAVING VERY IMPORTANT SUPPORT AROUND 17400 - 17500 LEVELS. This are the levels from where markets bounced today 28 January 2008. The same was updated by sms early morning.
Today value buying was seen in later half of session of markets & bouncing from 17450 sensex levels. If we do not break this levels then we can see this months Derivatives rollovers above 19000 levels & for Nifty 5500 levels.
We have updating our clients by sms regarding the market views early morning, one can check the same on the following website : Sms Service : http://www.smsgupshup.com/groups/AlliesFin
We have been asked to do value buying the selective stocks like
Reliance pack : Ril, Rpl, Rel Capital, Rcom, Rnrl
Enigneering stocks : Lnt, Abb, Siemens, Punj Llyod etc
Banking Stocks : Sbi, Icici bank, Kotak Bank etc
And many more mid cap stocks from other sectors too.
In just few days time many of this stocks have given return of minimum of 10 % to 30%, What else u want in short term ?
Please remember all things u buy think to keep them for minimum of 3 to 6 months view.
Technical stock :

Gtl Ltd ( 500160 ) : this stock we had recomended on last friday @ 260 levels. At tht time market was 19800 levels. Today markets are around 18150 points down by around 1600 points from 19800 levels but this stock is trading @ same price. Our tg for this stock is Rs 300 in short term. Which comes to 20% in a months+ time.
We do manage Private client groups ( PCG ) & give premium calls to them by sms. For more details of our services click here http://alliesfin.blogspot.com/2007/05/payment-details.html
If u need any advise or suggestions then feel free to call on our contact nos.
We offer free sms services to people in India on their mobile. If u r interested in joining our free sms services then send this sms from ur mobile to 567673434 , Join AlliesFin ( use the same text as shown here )
DONT FORGET TO READ ARTILCE POSTED ON OUR WEBSITE
Click on the following link & find the file Nifty can bring Kranti.xls : http://groups.google.com/group/alliesfin
We would like to get comments on the same by sms on 00919820191219 or on our email address : alliesfin@gmail.com
If u like our theme then u can share with others too & if u do not like our theme then also u have to share with others too as who knows who will be benefited from this.
Regards,
Axit Shah
Wealth Advisor ~ Allies Financial Services
Mobile Gsm : ( 0091 ) 9820191219
Yahoo ID : alliesfin9

Friday 25 January 2008

NIFTY CAN BRING KRANTI

Click on the following link & find the file Nifty can bring Kranti.xls : http://groups.google.com/group/alliesfin

We would like to get comments on the same by sms on 00919820191219 or on our email address : alliesfin@gmail.com

If u like our theme then u can share with others too & if u do not like our theme then also u have to share with others too as who knows who will be benefited from this.

Regards,

Axit Shah
Wealth Advisor ~ Allies Financial Services
Mobile Gsm : ( 0091 ) 9820191219
Yahoo ID : alliesfin9
Website :
http://alliesfin.blogspot.com
Group : http://groups.google.com/group/alliesfin
Sms Service : http://www.smsgupshup.com/groups/AlliesFin

Tuesday 22 January 2008

Market View 23 January 2008



Value buying the Themeeeeeee
As expected the markets opened lower circuit & recovered from days low after hitting low of 15332 & managed to close above 16500 levels. This is very +ve sign for markets. Now we should stable above 16500 levels & gather more momemtum before fresh run up.
If 16500 if getting stable to minimum 2 to 3 trading then we can see again 18500 - 19000 levels.
As written yesterday we are 100% sure tht once market once starts trading below 16500 levels value buying will emerge & the same happened today. It crashed to 15333 levels & halted for an hour & then value buying emerged.
Regarding the halt in the markets we had alerted clients in our early morning sms sent to them. one can check on this website where our sms updates are available : Sms Service : http://www.smsgupshup.com/groups/AlliesFin
Selective buying was done in few large cap stocks like :
Reliance pack : Ril, Rpl, Rel Capital, Rcom, Rnrl
Enigneering stocks : Lnt, Abb, Siemens, Punj Llyod etc
Banking Stocks : Sbi, Icici bank, Kotak Bank etc
And many more mid cap stocks from other sectors too
Please remember all things u buy think to keep them for minimum of 3 to 6 months view.
Technical stock :
Gtl Ltd ( 500160 ) : this stock we had recomended on last friday @ 260 levels. At tht time market was 19800 levels. Today markets are around 16500 points down by around 2300 points from 19800 levels but this stock is down by Rs 10 only as the close is 250. Our tg for this stock is Rs 300 in short term.
We dont believe in giving too many calls as We believe in " Quality of calls rather then Quantity of calls "
We like bottom up approach in markets & like to trade in cash markets only rather in F & O & in margin funding. We would advise to trade less in intra day too. This are some of our fundas where we feel are safe & can mint / hold in any market situations.
We have been advising since last many days " INVESTORS PLS DONT PANIC AS NOTHING WRONG WITH OUR FUNDAMENTALS AS ITS JUST SHORT TERM LIQUIDITY CRUNCH, US SUBPRIME EFFECT & YEN CARRY TRADES "
Today a gr8 news came like Breaking news : Fed cuts interest & discount rates by 75 Bps & nw @ 3.50% in an emergency meeting.
This is highly +ve for Indian markets & other global markets too.
We do manage Private client groups ( PCG ) & give premium calls to them by sms. For more details of our services click here http://alliesfin.blogspot.com/2007/05/payment-details.html
If u need any advise or suggestions then feel free to call on our contact nos.

We offer free sms services to people in India on their mobile. If u r interested in joining our free sms services then send this sms from ur mobile to 567673434 , Join AlliesFin ( use the same text as shown here )

Good Day

Happy Investing
Regards,

Axit Shah
Equity Advisory Desk ~ Allies Financial Services
Mobile Gsm : ( 0091 ) 9820191219
Yahoo ID : alliesfin9

Monday 21 January 2008

Market View 22 January 2008


Panic The Themeeeeeeeeee
As told that once we break 18500 we can test 17500 levels. Sensex tested 16900 levels & bounced back sharply & managed to close above 17500 levels.
This close is important but still there is some pain left in the markets & can test any levels between 16000 - 16500 levels. Once the markets touches this levels We are 100 % sure to do value buying @ these levels for investments.
We would to continue with our previos recomendations & do value buying once again around these levels. Please remember all things u buy think to keep them for minimum of 3 to 6 months view.
We do manage Private client groups ( PCG ) & give premium calls to them by sms. For more details of our services click here http://alliesfin.blogspot.com/2007/05/payment-details.html
Trading calls :
Gtl Ltd ( 500160 ) cmp 246 tg 300 ( short term delivery ) This stock is only down by Rs 6 from previous close & less downside is there.
Buy Sbi & hold as investments as in Sbi we have rights issue of 1 Share for every 5 shares held @ 1590. We would ask people to subscribe to the rights issue.
INVESTORS PLS DONT PANIC AS NOTHING WRONG WITH OUR FUNDAMENTALS AS ITS JUST SHORT TERM LIQUIDITY CRUNCH, US SUBPRIME EFFECT & YEN CARRY TRADES.
If u need any advise or suggestions then feel free to call on our contact nos.
We offer free sms services to people in India on their mobile. If u r interested in joining our free sms services then send this sms from ur mobile to 567673434 , Join AlliesFin ( use the same text as shown here )
Good Day
Happy Investing
Regards,
Axit Shah
Equity Advisory Desk ~ Allies Financial Services
Mobile Gsm : ( 0091 ) 9820191219
Yahoo ID : alliesfin9

Saturday 19 January 2008

Market View 21 January 2008



PANIC !!!! PANIC !!!!!!! PANIC !!!!!!!

This is word that suits market in current situations. After making new high of 21200 on 10 January, 2008 we are now down by more then 2200 points on sensex. Stil we are not certain til where this pain could be but always we can always use technical indicators.

We are now @ 19000 levels we can see on charts 18500 as very important support for markets as its 100 Dma & any close below that we can 17500 which is trend line support.

But this seems to happen in very rare case but we cannot rule out tht too. We have to highly cautious while trading as the markets would be highly volatile in days to come. So traders have to take undue care as in some cases Targets will be achieved after hitting stop losses.

From next week we can see some value buying as we are almost 10 to 12 % down from the recent top of 21200 so we can see value buying in selective stocks. Keep stock specific approach & avoid any small & penny cap stocks as they are available cheap.

Selective buying can be done in few large cap stocks like

Reliance pack : Ril, Rpl, Rel Capital, Rcom, Rnrl
Enigneering stocks : Lnt, Abb, Siemens, Punj Llyod etc
Banking Stocks : Sbi, Icici bank, Kotak Bank etc


Please remember all things u buy think to keep them for minimum of 3 to 6 months view.

Trading calls for Monday :

Buy Sbi around 2350 levels & hold as investments as in Sbi we have rights issue of 1 Share for every 5 shares held @ 1590. We would ask people to subscribe to the rights issue.

Intra day call Buy Gtl ltd cmp 254 sl 245 tg 265 - 270
Short term Delivery based tg 300.

INVESTORS PLS DONT PANIC AS NOTHING WRONG WITH OUR FUNDAMENTALS AS ITS JUST SHORT TERM LIQUIDITY CRUNCH, US SUBPRIME EFFECT & YEN CARRY TRADES

Good Day

Happy Investing

Regards,

Axit Shah
Equity Advisory Desk ~ Allies Financial Services
Mobile Gsm : ( 0091 ) 9820191219
Yahoo ID : alliesfin9
Website : http://alliesfin.blogspot.com
Group : http://groups.google.com/group/alliesfin
Sms Service : http://www.smsgupshup.com/groups/AlliesFin

Friday 11 January 2008

Thursday 10 January 2008


Must Read for Every Man and of course Woman (to understand man)

"One day, while a woodcutter was cutting a branch of a tree above a river, his axe fell into the river. When he cried out, the Lord appeared and asked, "Why are you crying?"

The woodcutter replied that his axe has fallen into water, and he needed the axe to make his living.

The Lord went down into the water and reappeared with a golden axe. "Is this your axe?" the Lord asked.

The woodcutter replied, "No."

The Lord again went down and came up with a silver Axe. "Is this your axe?" the Lord asked.

Again, the woodcutter replied, "No."

The Lord went down again and came up with an iron Axe. "Is this your axe?" the Lord asked.

The woodcutter replied, "Yes."

The Lord was pleased with the man's honesty and gave him all three axes to keep, and the woodcutter went home happy.

Some time later the woodcutter was walking with his wife along the riverbank, and his wife fell into the river.

When he cried out, the Lord again appeared and asked him, "Why are you crying?" "Oh Lord, my wife has fallen into the water!"

The Lord went down into the water and came up with ANGELINA JOLIE "Is this your wife?" the Lord asked. "Yes," cried the woodcutter.

The Lord was furious. "You lied! That is an untruth!"

The woodcutter replied, "Oh, forgive me, my Lord. It is a misunderstanding.

You see, if I had said 'no' to ANGELINA JOLIE , You would have come up with CAMERON DIAZ .

Then if I said 'no' to her, you would have come up with my wife . Had I then said 'yes,' you would have given me all three.

Lord, I am a poor man, and am not able to take care of all three wives, so THAT'S why I said yes to ANGELINA JOLIE .

"The moral of this story is: Whenever a man lies, it is for a good and honorable reason, and for the benefit of others.

Monday 7 January 2008

New T2T List as on 7 January 2008

Find new list of more then 150 scrips which are being transfered to trade to trade segment on our website : http://groups.google.com/group/alliesfin

Saturday 5 January 2008

Market View 07 Jan 2008


This is the first post we are posting in this month.


Sensex ( 20686 ) : Sensex as expected crossed 20500 which was very crucial. We need to close above 20500 for 2 to 3 trading sessions. If done then we can see 22000 levels very soon.

AlliesFinServe #StockMarket #Bharat Telegram.me/AlliesFin's Post

Pre Market Observations and Info https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaPrz8AIXnlv64xTjs1f By: via AlliesFinServe #StockMarket #Bharat Tele...